High-Grade NPI Market Sentiment Intensifies, Prices to Fluctuate Relatively Stable With Strong Trend in the Short Term [NPI Daily Review]

The UK construction industry has strongly criticized proposed trade measures that would introduce stricter steel tariffs of 50% alongside quota reductions of up to 60%. Industry representatives warn these measures will drastically inflate costs for private housing and public infrastructure, particularly threatening the viability of companies involved in the €115 billion HS2 railway project, where large volumes of imported steel are already contracted. Thorsten Gerber, CEO of the Gerber Group, warned that these protectionist approaches disproportionately harm SMEs, automotive manufacturers, and the entire downstream metal processing sector, urging both London and Brussels to reconsider their strategies to avoid massive economic damage and widespread job losses.

The European Emissions Trading System (ETS) is under significant pressure from member states due to sharply rising energy costs driven by the tightening supply of certificates, with prices tripling from around €25/t CO2 in 2019 to approximately €75/t in 2025. With the ETS scheduled for a major revision by July 2026, several EU countries led by Italy recently called for the review process to be suspended. Last week, Polish President Karol Nawrocki went a step further, urging his government to advocate for the complete abolition of the ETS to prevent further industrial relocation outside the EU. Industry experts note that any modification, suspension, or national exemption of the ETS would have immediate and direct consequences for the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM).

China's stainless steel industry is rapidly transitioning into a high-quality growth phase, with apparent consumption projected to reach 34.45 million mt in 2026. Shifting away from traditional industry reliance, the market's primary expansion engines are now new energy and high-end equipment manufacturing, bolstered by steady support from infrastructure, medical health, and marine engineering. The global energy transition is significantly boosting the need for corrosion-resistant materials in lithium battery equipment and hydrogen storage, while domestic upgrades demand high-performance alloys for aerospace and precision machinery.